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Details of Grant 

EPSRC Reference: GR/S18052/01
Title: CRANIUM: Climate change Risk Assessment: New Impact and Uncertainty Methods
Principal Investigator: Hall, Professor JW
Other Investigators:
anderson, Professor mg
Researcher Co-Investigators:
Project Partners:
Arup (Ove Arup and Partners Ltd) (UK) CH2M Hill (Halcrow) Environment Agency (Grouped)
Halliburton KBR Meteorological Office Network Rail
Scottish and Southern Energy (SSE)
Department: Civil Engineering
Organisation: University of Bristol
Scheme: Standard Research (Pre-FEC)
Starts: 01 October 2003 Ends: 30 September 2004 Value (£): 156,760
EPSRC Research Topic Classifications:
Civil Engineering Materials Construction Ops & Management
EPSRC Industrial Sector Classifications:
Construction Environment
Technical Consultancy Transport Systems and Vehicles
Energy Water
Related Grants:
Panel History:  
Summary on Grant Application Form
The aim of the proposed research is to develop new methodologies for analysing uncertainty and making robust risk-based decisions for infrastructure design and management in the face of climate change. It is structured around three tasks. Task 1 will analyse uncertainties in key climate variable analysis of built environment, transport and utilities and provide means of communicating uncertainties to modellers and decision-makers. It will develop new Bayesian and extreme value methods for incorporating a range of uncertainties in climate scenarios. Task 2 will develop new methods for assessing system response to uncertain climate forcing. It will demonstrate methods for projecting uncertainties through system models and evaluate numerical methods for reducing the computational expense of uncertainty analysis. Task 3 will address how, in the light of these insights, decision making about operation of, or investment in, the system in question could be managed or modified to reflect potential climate change impacts arc specifically the uncertainties surrounding them. It will review the decision contexts confronted by managers responsible for built environment, trap; and utilities and evaluate the suitability of a range of decision-making techniques in these contexts. Task 3 will be the main integrating mechanism within the project and will involve the project's eight stakeholder organisations. Methodological developments in each of these three tasks will be conducted in the context of case examples.
Key Findings
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Summary
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Project URL:  
Further Information:  
Organisation Website: http://www.bris.ac.uk